← All questionsGS1 · 2015 · Indian Society ·Population and Poverty: Causal Direction
MAINS 2015
GS1
12.5 marks

Critically examine whether growing population is the cause of poverty OR poverty is the main cause of population increase in India.

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9 min
200 words

What the examiner wants

Examine whether population growth causes poverty or poverty drives population growth in India.

Critically examineWeigh the strengths and the weaknesses, then give a balanced verdict.

Demand-wise check

  1. 1Population → poverty: pressure on land, jobs, public services (Malthusian view)≈35 words
  2. 2Poverty → population: high child mortality, children as old-age security and labour, low female education, poor contraceptive access≈35 words
  3. 3Evidence: Kerala and Tamil Nadu cut fertility through education and health; Bihar and UP lag with higher poverty≈35 words
  4. 4Two-way link; development as the break-point; demographic dividend if jobs grow≈35 words

Open in about 30 words and close in about 30.

Answer plan

Two viewsEvidence from statesTwo-way relationPolicy implicationConclusion

Where marks usually go

  • Taking one side without examining the other
  • Missing state-level evidence

Draw this

  • Vicious-circle diagram linking poverty, high fertility, low human capital

Value addition

  • Quote'Development is the best contraceptive' - Karan Singh at the World Population Conference, Bucharest, 1974.Bucharest, 1974
  • DataNFHS-5 (2019-21): TFR 2.0 nationally, about 3.0 in Bihar and 1.8 in Kerala.NFHS-5 (2019-21)

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